Michael A. Covington    Michael A. Covington, Ph.D.
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Ichthys

Daily Notebook

Links to selected items on this page:
Missing movement, 3rd Brandenburg Concerto
3-way switches
The great auroral storm of 2024
Aurorae and political manipulation
How to find out if there's about to be an aurora
What complete foolishness looks like
Astrophotos:
Aurora borealis from Georgia (2024)
Aurora borealis from Georgia (2003)
Sunspots
Many more...

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2024
May
14

What complete foolishness looks like

I've just been shown a dialog from an online forum in which someone asserts that the aurora was fake, the eclipse was fake, other things in the sky are fake, and it has something to do with someone impersonating Jesus.

What stands out about these mad rantings?

The person saying them gives no reason at all why we should believe them.

We're just supposed to believe them because their mouth is running.

If asked, "Why should I believe that?" such a person could not give a coherent answer.

That is what complete foolishness looks like.

And, with that in mind, we can recognize a lot of complete foolishness that does not look quite so crazy!

2024
May
12

(Extra)

How to find out if there's about to be an aurora

In case we continue to have unusually strong aurorae for the next month or two, I'm putting some information here for future reference.

In brief: Click on the map below to see current conditions, and if it's red within 1000 miles of you, you have a good chance of seeing an aurora.

Picture This is a screenshot of the map during the great auroral storm.

Click to see the current map.


Contributed by Clay Turner.

Note that dates and times are UTC, which is 4 hours ahead of Eastern Daylight Time. So 02:59 on May 11 was 10:59 p.m. EDT on May 10 in Georgia. I've seen lots of people accidentally jump a day by misinterpreting this.

The auroral oval rotates clockwise as the earth turns. What's over northern Europe now will be over Canada in a few hours, and so on. Keep clicking on the map, once an hour or more, to watch conditions develop.

Note that the map color is an overall average; aurorae actually come in unpredictable bursts that last an hour or two. Sometimes, in a red area, all you'll see is an overall brightening of the sky. Sometimes, even when the red area is hundreds of miles away, you'll see dramatic streamers or curtains.

It's possible to observe the clouds of charged particles being ejected from the sun before they get to earth. That means prediction, especially over a timescale of hours, is often very good. But observers want to be warned if there's even a small chance of an unusual event. So if it sounds like scientists "cry wolf" and predict too much, it's because they do. They'd rather not miss a rare event, even if they don't always get one when they expect it.

Other current information about aurorae is at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ and https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/.

You cannot see aurorae in the daytime or amid bright city lights. But, at night, a camera (even a cell phone camera) will often pick them up better than the human eye does. Use Photoshop, Affinity Photo, or GIMP to brighten up pictures that come out dark.

2024
May
12

Aurorae and political manipulation
"They" didn't want you to know...

[Slightly revised.]

In listening to the chit-chat on Facebook, I saw that the aurora gave some people a much-needed reminder that there are events in the world — in the universe — that aren't man-made and don't arise from human thought or mass communication.

The auroral storm was not caused by Democrats, Republicans, CNN, Fox, climate change, or any human activity. It did not obey schedules made by human beings. It was certainly not a show put on by NASA. It was there, and if you wanted to see it, you had to take it the way it actually was.

Lots of us saw it with our own eyes. It was not a hoax. It was not something on TV or the Internet.

In fact, one of the biggest things people learn from any kind of nature study is: There are things out there that weren't MADE to entertain YOU. Take them on their own terms.

I've already seen people circulating fake aurora pictures with the colors in the wrong order. I suppose their motive is to cut the link to reality — to deny that it was real after all. The same may be true of fake eclipse pictures.

Some complained that they did not hear about the aurora on "the news." It turned out that "the news," for them, was nothing but political commentary. They had stopped watching media outside their political bubble and were simply not hearing about events.

I would urge them to ask: Are you really a well-informed person? Or has somebody told you not to watch general-coverage news media, and thereby manipulated you into being ignorant? What else do "they" not want you to know?

Well-informed people should want to hear about events unconnected to their political interests, and hear the best that can be said for political positions with which they disagree. Hiding in a bubble won't do.



Last time: The aurora in Georgia in 2003

There were two auroral storms visible in Georgia in the fall of 2003, and I got enough advance warning of them to go out in the country, see them, and take pictures. The first one, on October 30, 2003, first caught my attention as a reddish glow in the sky ahead of me as I drove northeastward. My car had a red interior, and at first I thought it was a reflection, but no; it was real. Film photograph from Danielsville, Georgia:

Picture

Just two weeks later, on November 12, there was another, and from the same site, I saw and photographed much more elaborate displays — still probably the finest I've seen, though the 2024 display surpassed them in sheer bulk. Here's a classic auroral curtain, again photographed from Danielsville:

Picture

Apart from that, my experience with aurorae is very limited. Some time back in the 1990s I did some wide-field deep-sky photography from out in the country, noticed that the sky was abnormally bright, and then found a vivid red background on my pictures — aurora borealis, though I did not see or photograph any structure. And I saw a fine auroral curtain over Goose Bay, Newfoundland, from a jetliner on the way to London in 1980; aurorae are common there. And that's it.

2024
May
11

The Great Auroral Storm of May 10-11, 2024


Picture

Picture

Last night I witnessed a very rare and somewhat unexpected celestial event, a strong aurora borealis visible in Georgia. Not only that, but it was actually seen and photographed as far south as Miami.

If this were Minnesota, an aurora wouldn't be all that noteworthy, uncommon though it might be. But aurorae in Georgia are rare. I last saw one in 2003.

I found out several days in advance that there was a chance of an auroral storm caused by a large sunspot group. On May 10, NOAA predicted extremely strong auroral activity, and on Facebook I started seeing reports of aurorae from England (where they are quite uncommon) and as far south as Brindisi, Italy. That is appreciably farther from the north magnetic pole than I am.

So Melody and I started making plans. I didn't want to go to Deerlick because of the distance and because a major star party was in progress there. My cousin Aaron Paul invited us to his house near Good Hope, Georgia, and then took us to a sod farm in Bostwick, Georgia, that had good dark skies. There we were joined by his friend Alec Johnson.

As soon as darkness fell, there it was! Of course, the colors were much less vivid to the eye than to the camera — and, apparently, less vivid to my eyes than to the other people's.

For about an hour we watched auroral streamers moving around, especially high overhead, and then the activity slowed down. I should explain that while the NOAA maps plot probability of aurorae, the actual aurorae come in bursts whose length is on the order of two hours, and this one had started before it got dark.

That was the Great Auroral Storm of 2024. As I write this, the prospect of a second night of it is dwindling, and past experience suggests that if there is another one, it will be in three or four weeks (when the same sunspot group rotates toward us again) or else not for twenty years or more.



The sunspot group that caused the storm

Picture

The aurora was caused by charged particles emitted from the sun, and especially from an exceptionally large and active sunspot group. Yesterday afternoon (May 10) I took a picture of the sun in the usual way with my Celestron 5, Thousand Oaks solar filter, and Canon 60Da.

The giant sunspot group is obvious. Sunspots like this do not come along in every solar cycle. This one was visible through eclipse glasses without other optical aid.

2024
May
4

Short notes

I seem to be spending the weekend having the flu, or some other minor febrile illness. At least I had a fever yesterday, along with some other symptoms, but they are subsiding. While having to stay home, I will at least catch up on the Daily Notebook...



Was part of the Third Brandenburg Concerto lost?

Bach's Brandenburg Concerti are among my favorite pieces of music, but I haven't paid equal attention to all parts of them. So I was only dimly aware of a real peculiarity until a friend brought it to my attention.

As written by Bach, the second movement of the Third Brandenburg Concerto consists of just two notes (with harmony, so actually, two chords). Here is what Bach wrote:

Picture

That's it — just two notes, between the first movement and the third movement.

What happened? Was Bach intending to unveil a "surprise" piece of music to be performed at that point in the concert? Was the harpsichordist or violinist supposed to just improvise? Was most of the movement a solo, not included in the orchestra's score? Or was it really an extremely short movement?

I got out all my CDs and records of that concerto and listened carefully.

The Chamber Orchestra of the Saar, on a Nonesuch budget album (HB-73006) that I bought in college, simply plays the two chords slowly (taking 20 seconds) and doesn't count them as a movement; they list that concerto as having two movements rather than the usual three. Click here to hear how they did it — the end of the first movement, the two chords, and the beginning of the last movement.

The Berlin Philharmonic plays the two chords somewhat more broken, taking 14 seconds; that's the performance I've listened to the most, and I always considered that part to be the introduction to the last movement, although they count it as a movement in itself.

And the Academy of St. Martin in the Fields substitutes a little-known Bach sonata, which is fine and makes the movement have normal length, but it doesn't really match the style of the Brandenburg Concerti. On YouTube I find plenty of variations of all these approaches. Anything more than half a minute long is going to be a substitution from elsewhere in Bach's works.

We may never know what Bach actually intended. Personally, I prefer the way the Chamber Orchestra of the Saar did it. Short and to the point. The two chords work well introducing the next movement. Maybe that's what Bach meant for us to hear.



Shenanigans with 3-way switches

While brushing up my knowledge of house wiring in preparation for another visit from the electricians, I came across some odd ways of wiring 3-way switches (that is, two switches wired so that if you flip either of them, the light will either turn on or turn off). (They are called 3-way because they connect to 3 wires; each switch has only 2 positions.)

First, here's the normal way to wire them, and until now, the only way I had ever thought of:

Picture

Each switch chooses one of the two parallel wires. If they both choose the same one, the load receives power.

A "dead-end 3-way" is the same thing, with one of the switches placed at a distance and connected via a 3-wire cable. This is a difference in placement, not connections.

But there's a strange variation, the "California 3-way," permitted in some places and not others:

Picture

I had to think for a moment to see that this one works. It does. When the two switches choose the same parallel wire, the load does not receive power; when they choose different ones, it does.

Although odd, it is safe. If one of the switches were to short internally, joining all three of its terminals, the load would receive power normally; you just wouldn't be able to switch it off.

The California 3-way has an evil twin, the "Chicago" or "Carter" 3-way, which is not recommended practice anywhere. Here's how it's wired:

Picture

It works, but you can't control which side of the load is live and which side is neutral. That is not safe. When both switches are up (as shown in the diagram), the load is not powered, but both sides of it are connected to "live" and would be likely to deliver an electric shock if someone accidentally made contact with them.

We always want to cut power on the live side, not the neutral side, when something is turned off. That doesn't rule out shocks totally, but it makes things safer. More about that here.

There's also a worse problem. If one of the switches were to short internally, live would be shorted to neutral, and either the fuse would blow, or there would be a fire. The Chicago 3-way absolutely assumes each switch will disconnect from one of the parallel wires before connecting to the other ("break-before-make"). That is not necessarily a specified or reliable property. With the other two methods, if the switch isn't break-before-make, you won't even notice anything different.



How extremism grows through a vicious cycle

In a recent magazine piece, my friend Donald Williams was explaining how the word "fundamentalist" came to denote hyperconservatism rather than merely conservatism. His context was church history, but he pointed out a phenomenon we should all know about.

The fundamentalists started practicing "secondary separation." That means they separated themselves not only from those they considered unorthodox, but also from those who did not separate as strictly as they did from those they considered unorthodox.

And then, of course, you consider the second group also unorthodox, and you have to separate not only from them, but also from others who do not separate from them...

And it snowballs, and soon almost nobody is conservative enough for you.

We've seen this in politics, too, haven't we?

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